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Global Economics - Is China's economic model broken?

17th October 2021
This new video from the Financial Times is a fantastic look at China's economic model.
It focuses on the centrality of real estate to the Chinese economy, the importance of housing policy to past and future prosperity, and the Evergrande crisis.
Is China's economic model broken?
— FT China (@ftchina) October 15, 2021
Since the early 2000s some China watchers have been predicting that the building boom would lead to a crash. Twenty years on they may have been proven right https://t.co/xLldHNTlCV
The brilliant George Magnus writes here about the Evergrande crisis and what this means for both the Chinese economy, and, by definition, the global economy.
There's some eye-watering stuff in the article - the size of Evergrande's debt - around $300bn - and the contribution that the sector makes to the Chinese economy - the property market is worth four times Chinese GDP, and the housing sector annually accounts for nearly one-third of economic activity.
However, the alarming thing is what a collapse of the sector could mean more generally., not least if house prices in China start falling. The real estate bubble cannot last indefinitely.
International bond sales by Chinese developers have all but halted as the crisis at China Evergrande stokes fears of defaults across the country’s property sector, throttling a crucial driver of Asia’s high-yield debt market.#ChinaBubble https://t.co/9Oh8ZYyNQn
— Lakshmisha K S (@lakshmishaks) October 14, 2021
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