In the News
Demography: Japan's birthrate falls to lowest level in history
27th December 2018
Japan's population is decline and ageing at a rapid rate. New data shows that the natural decline in their population was nearly 500,000 in 2018 with fewer than one million babies born for the third year in a row. The question posed by the Economist here is pertinent. " How does a country cope if more than half of new babies will be centenarians?
The IMF's latest analysis says that "demographic headwinds—the ageing and shrinking of Japan’s population—are set to intensify." as the share of the population aged 65 years and older will rise from its current three-in-ten persons to almost four-in-ten persons. There are numerous potential consequences - for competitiveness, economic growth and government finances. There are also important commercial opportunities - hinted at in this article on how the internet of things might be used to harness some of the challenges of an ageing population.
The FT has this excellent article on some of the consequences of a declining population in Japan including a drop of more than twenty percent in the number of school children which has led to the closure of many primary schools and kindergartens.
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