Topic updates
Crash and the Michael Fish Moment for Economists
![](https://tutor2u-net.imgix.net/user-photos/eventhost-RuthTarrant.png?auto=compress%2Cformat&crop=focalpoint&fit=crop&fp-x=0.5&fp-y=0.5&h=100&q=80&w=100)
6th January 2017
Here's a summary from the BBC regarding the similarities between Michael Fish's hurricane-forecasting disaster from 1987 and the failure of central banks to correctly forecast the financial crisis and the immediate aftermath of the Brexit vote.
Crash was economists' 'Michael Fish' moment, says Andy Haldane https://t.co/my1WGoHHsk
— BBC News (UK) (@BBCNews) January 5, 2017
Andy Haldane believes it could be a pivotal moment in improving economic modelling and forecasting. As a way in with students, perhaps you could have a short classroom discussion about the ways in which economic modelling and forecasting could be improved.
Humility is an essential quality for forecasters, and the people who use them! https://t.co/V2FQP0Xft1
— Mark Cliffe (@markcliffe) January 6, 2017
What Andy Haldane didn't mention was that the BoE, alongside other official bodies, can't go round forecasting recessions willy-nilly
— Stephen King (@KingEconomist) January 6, 2017
Five things economists can do to regain trust https://t.co/EUHLe4eygP
— Guardian Business (@BusinessDesk) January 6, 2017
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