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Economics

Study Notes

Exchange Rates - Fixed Currency Systems

Level:
A Level
Board:
AQA, Edexcel, OCR, IB

A fixed exchange rate system e.g. a currency peg either as part of a currency board system or membership of the ERM II for countries intending to join the Euro

The main arguments for adopting a fixed exchange rate system are as follows:

  1. Trade and Investment: Currency stability can promote trade and capital investment because of less currency risk. Overseas investors will be more certain and confident that the returns from their investments will not be destroyed by sudden fluctuations in the value of a currency.
  2. Some flexibility permitted: Some adjustment to the fixed currency parity is possible if the case becomes unstoppable (i.e. the occasional devaluation or revaluation of the currency if agreement can be reached with other countries). Some countries are tempted to engage in competitive devaluations and this threatens the outbreak of “currency wars".
  3. Reductions in the costs of currency hedging: Businesses have to spend less on currency hedging if they know that the currency will maintain a stable value in the foreign exchange markets.
  4. Disciplines on domestic producers: A stable currency acts as a discipline on producers to keep costs and prices down and may encourage attempts to raise productivity and focus on research and innovation. In the long run, with a fixed exchange rate, one country's inflation must fall into line with another (and thus put competitive pressures on prices and real wages)
  5. Reinforcing gains in comparative advantage: If one country has a fixed exchange rate with another, then differences in relative unit labour costs will be reflected in the growth of exports and imports. Consider the example of China and the United States. For several years China pegged the Yuan against the dollar. Until July 2005 the exchange rate was fully fixed; since then the Chinese have allowed only a gradual depreciation of the dollar against the Yuan. Most estimates indicate that the Chinese currency is persistently undervalued against the dollar. This makes Chinese products cheaper and has led to numerous calls from US manufacturers for the Chinese to be persuaded to switch to a floating exchange rate or to adjust their currency by appreciating against the dollar.

Denmark has been inside the ERM II since the launch of the Euro in 1999. Prior to the introduction of the euro, the Danish fixed exchange rate was vis-à-vis the German D-mark. Under ERM II, the Danish krone is fixed against the Euro – the central bank intervenes to keep the currency within agreed limits when needed.

Denmark's currency peg against the Euro

The Danish central bank's sole mandate is to adjust policy interest rates and currency reserves to defend the krone's peg to the euro

Norwegian and Swedish currencies against the Euro

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