What is the Evidence for Climate Change? | AQA GCSE Geography | Climate Change 2
Last updated 10 Feb 2023
How can we prove that there has been a long-term change in global temperatures?
More recently we have used thermometers to monitor these changes in temperature. However there is other evidence that shows climate change is occurring.
Firstly, we can see how much glaciers are shrinking and ice is melting due to ocean temperatures warming – images like the one below are common, with huge chunks of icebergs and ice shelves becoming loose and falling into the oceans. Scientific estimates claim that some glaciers may completely disappear over the next decade, and measurements show that Arctic sea ice has thinned by 65% since 1975, and is now at an all time low. Data from NASA also shows that since 2002 Antarctica is losing 134 billion tonnes of ice a year, and Greenland is losing 287 billion tonnes annually.
Secondly, we can see that the average global sea level has risen between 10 and 20cm in the past 100 years. This has happened because when glaciers and ice caps melt excess water flows into the sea, but also because of thermal expansion – when ocean water is heated and expands in volume.
Thirdly, scientists have observed that the timing of seasonal activities, such as birds migration and plants flowering, has started to happen earlier in the year.
To investigate historic climate change we are reliant on natural recorders such as tree rings, fossil pollen, ice cores and ocean sediments, to estimate what the climate was like - however these only show us that the climate has changed, they don't give us evidence of actual temperature change.
Because Antarctica is an unspoilt wilderness the layers of ice and snow have remained unchanged - different layers of snow build up over thousands of years which gives us information about how the climate has changed. Scientists can drill ice cores to see what the climate was like when the snow fell - the further they drill down, the older the snow will be - they have managed to get as far back as 800,000 years. Scientists use the oxygen isotopes within the ice cores to estimate what the temperatures would have been. They then melt the ice core to release trapped carbon dioxide and methane, which they can compare to present levels to investigate climate differences between then and now.
Scientists can also observe ocean sediment - the further they dig down, the older the sediment will be. Organisms and plankton remains provide evidence of climate change, such as past surface water temperatures, and levels of oxygen and nutrients.