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Unit 4 Macro: Clusters of Risks for the Global Economy

Geoff Riley

13th January 2012

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Here is a good evaluation phrase to use when building an answer in an A2 macro essay - “clusters of risks” - it captures the inter-connected and multi-polar nature of our world economy and also the many fragilities and uncertainties that surround us at the moment we many countries struggle to achieve a durable recovery.

The clusters of risks are mentioned in a new report on the risks facing the global economy published by the World Economic Forum ahead of the annual 2012 meeting in Davos.

Specificially:

1/ The threat of a new economic crisis which could arise from the tension between the increasing power and wealth of emerging economies and the high levels of debt in the west.

2/ An “illegal economy nexus” involving fragile states, illicit trade, organised crime and corruption. The report said the value of illicit trade was an estimated $1.3tn (£830bn) in 2009.

3/ The “unsustainable pressures” on resources created by a rising population and growing prosperity, which was expected to increase demand for food, water and energy by 30-50% in the next 20 years.

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Geoff Riley

Geoff Riley FRSA has been teaching Economics for nearly forty years. He has over twenty years experience as Head of Economics at leading schools. He writes extensively and is a contributor and presenter on CPD and Revision conferences in the UK and overseas.