AS macro students will be studying the economic cycle and following the struggles of many countries to sustain a recovery in demand, output and jobs after the 2008-09 recession. The well respected independent forecasting body, the National Institute (NIESR) has produced new data suggesting that the UK recovery is on course to be “the weakest of any since the end of the First World War”, with gross domestic product still 4pc below its pre-recession peak. The risks of a second recession (a double dip) look to be rising week by week especially when one looks at the consumer and business confidence data.

Here is a link to the NIESR report and also to BBC news coverage of their findings.