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The Evolution of the Basket: What the CPI Tells Us About 2026

Geoff Riley

17th March 2026

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For A-level economists, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is more than just a headline inflation figure; it is a dynamic "snapshot" of British social history. Every year, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) recalibrates the basket of goods and services to ensure it remains representative of contemporary spending patterns. This process is vital for maintaining the accuracy of the cost-of-living measurements used by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to set interest rates.

2026: The Year of Health and Tech

The 2026 update saw 27 items added and 19 removed, reflecting a society increasingly focused on health, pets, and security.

  • Additions: Reflecting the "sober-curious" trend and the rise of the "staycation," the ONS added alcohol-free beer and motorhomes. As we become a nation of pampered pets, pet grooming entered the basket, while dashboard cameras and houmous were included to reflect modern safety and dietary preferences.
  • Removals: To make room, obsolete items like sheets of wrapping paper were cut, alongside bottled premium lager (in hospitality settings), as preferences shift toward draught or craft options.

Looking Back: The 2025 Shift

The 2025 basket was equally revealing, focusing on the post-pandemic digital "new normal" and environmental consciousness.

  • Additions: Air fryers made a spectacular entry, reflecting the drive for energy efficiency during the cost-of-living crisis. Vinyl records also returned, highlighting a cultural "analog" revival.
  • Removals: Hand sanitiser was finally removed as pandemic-era stockpiling ceased, alongside rotary lawnmowers, which were replaced by more modern robotic or cordless alternatives.

Why It Matters for Your Exams

The annual update addresses substitution bias. If the basket stayed static, it would overstate inflation by ignoring the fact that consumers switch to cheaper or more modern alternatives. For students, understanding that the CPI is a weighted average of these items is key—changes in the basket ensure those weights reflect reality, ensuring allocative efficiency in how government benefits and pensions are "uprated" each year.

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Geoff Riley

Geoff Riley FRSA has been teaching Economics for nearly forty years. He has over twenty years experience as Head of Economics at leading schools. He writes extensively and is a contributor and presenter on CPD and Revision conferences in the UK and overseas.