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Psychology In The News | Reducing the Prison Population

Rosey Gardiner-Earl

15th September 2025

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It is 2025, and the BBC has reported on the recommendations made in the Independent Sentencing Review to reduce the prison population in England and Wales. The key proposal allows violent prisoners, including sex offenders and domestic abusers, to be released after serving just one-third of their sentence if they demonstrate good behaviour. The review emphasises shifting from custodial sentences to community-based alternatives, expanding electronic tagging, and limiting short prison sentences (under 12 months) to exceptional circumstances.

The crisis stems from 25 years of ‘tough on crime’ policies that doubled the prison population between 1993-2012, despite declining crime rates and persistently high reoffending levels. Former Lord Chancellor David Gauke warns that building more prisons alone cannot solve overcrowding, which creates dangerous conditions and contributes to reoffending cycles. Last year, emergency measures already released thousands of inmates early, with prisoners serving over five years being released after just 40% of their sentence.

Additional recommendations include expanding voluntary chemical castration pilot schemes (chemical castration inhibits the action of the sex hormone testosterone; the expectation is that the offender will have fewer sexual fantasies and a lower sex drive, making them less likely to commit a sexual offence) to 20 more prisons, with consideration of making it mandatory. The ‘earned progression model’, inspired by Texas reforms, involves three stages: custody (with behavioural incentives), post-custody (strict supervision with licence conditions), and at-risk (minimal supervision with recall potential). The review also calls for expanded specialist domestic abuse courts and increased probation service funding.

However, critics argue these measures effectively decriminalise serious crimes and send dangerous messages to both offenders and victims. Probation officers express serious concerns about managing dramatically increased caseloads with already stretched resources, with one officer stating they're ‘looking for another job’ due to impossible workloads. The review highlights the complex relationship between punishment, rehabilitation, and public safety, questioning whether traditional incarceration effectively reduces crime or perpetuates reoffending cycles.

References:

Violent criminals could be released early, and the chemical castration pilot expanded after review https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/art... (accessed 28.5.25)

ANSWER THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS!

  1. What psychological principle is primarily used in the 'earned progression model' for offenders?
  2. What are the implications of these sentencing reforms for the UK economy?
  3. How might critics argue that these reforms could undermine the deterrent effect of the criminal justice system?
  4. Identify one ethical issue a researcher might face when studying the psychological impact of chemical castration on offenders and suggest how it could be addressed.

Challenges:

Task-based: Suggest one method a psychologist could use to investigate whether community-based sentencing reduces reoffending rates. Explain why this method would be appropriate.

Classroom discussion-based: Should the ethical guidelines be different when researching prisoners or sex offenders?

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Rosey Gardiner-Earl

Rosey has 15 years of experience teaching Psychology and has worked as both a Subject and Senior Leader in school and large sixth form setting. Rosey is also an experienced A level Psychology examiner.