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Obesity Overtakes Underweight: A New Global Economic Challenge

Geoff Riley

16th September 2025

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UNICEF has reported a striking milestone in global health: for the first time, the number of obese children worldwide now exceeds those who are underweight. According to the research, 9.4% of five to 19-year-olds are obese, compared with 9.2% who are underweight. This shift highlights the emergence of obesity as not just a medical issue, but also a pressing economic challenge.

Traditionally, undernutrition has been associated with poverty and limited development. However, obesity increasingly affects both developed and developing economies, with particularly acute problems identified in the Pacific Island states. Rising obesity levels create a clear case of negative externalities. The costs of treating related illnesses—such as diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and certain cancers—fall not only on individuals but also on healthcare systems, employers, and taxpayers. This reduces overall economic welfare, as resources that could be invested in education, infrastructure, or growth are diverted into managing preventable health conditions.

From a labour market perspective, obesity may reduce productivity by increasing absenteeism and limiting individuals’ ability to participate fully in the workforce. This can lower long-term potential output, compounding fiscal pressures from higher healthcare expenditure. At the same time, obesity in children raises intergenerational concerns: future economic growth may be undermined if health outcomes worsen across cohorts.

Policymakers face difficult trade-offs. Subsidies on unhealthy foods, urban design that discourages physical activity, and limited public health campaigns all contribute to the problem. Tackling obesity will require coordinated interventions, including education, regulation of food markets, and targeted support in high-risk regions.

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Geoff Riley

Geoff Riley FRSA has been teaching Economics for nearly forty years. He has over twenty years experience as Head of Economics at leading schools. He writes extensively and is a contributor and presenter on CPD and Revision conferences in the UK and overseas.