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Is Trump a Mercantilist? Tariffs, Trade Wars & the Return of Protectionism

Geoff Riley

7th April 2025

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From slapping massive tariffs on imports from China, Japan, and the EU, to rejecting multilateral trade agreements, Trump's stance echoes the core beliefs of mercantilism — an economic philosophy rooted in maximizing exports, minimizing imports, and using government power to protect domestic industries.

Keynote Summary:

  • Mercantilism: Dominated European economic thinking from the 16th to 18th centuries; focused on trade as a zero-sum game.
  • Trump’s Trade Policy:
    • Massive tariffs on imports, especially from China (up to 54%), Japan, and the EU.
    • Bilateral trade deals preferred over multilateral agreements, enhancing US negotiating power.
    • An “America First” ideology underpinned by reducing trade deficits and reviving domestic manufacturing.
  • Modern vs. Mercantilist Economics:
    • Modern economics supports free trade, comparative advantage, and global interdependence as mutually beneficial.
    • Trump frames trade as win-lose, consistent with mercantilist thinking.
  • Quote to remember: “To me, the most beautiful word in the dictionary is tariff, and it’s my favourite word.” – Donald Trump (2024)
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Geoff Riley

Geoff Riley FRSA has been teaching Economics for nearly forty years. He has over twenty years experience as Head of Economics at leading schools. He writes extensively and is a contributor and presenter on CPD and Revision conferences in the UK and overseas.