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How is the Middle East conflict affecting UK livings standards? (Apr 2026)

Elizabeth Veal

20th April 2026

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Energy shock to hit poorest hardest as UK incomes fall £480

The Resolution Foundation highlights a renewed squeeze on UK living standards, with real incomes now expected to fall by 0.6%, leaving households £480 worse off on average. However, the impact is uneven: lower-income households, with a higher proportion of spending on essentials like energy and transport, face a larger real income hit as rising petrol and utility prices absorb a greater share of disposable income.

In contrast, higher-income groups are better cushioned. Longer term, reducing exposure to volatile global energy markets—through renewables investment, improved energy efficiency, and diversification of supply—could stabilise prices and protect living standards.

Average UK household will be £480 worse off this year due to Middle East war, think tank says | ITV News

1. Explain how living standards can be measured.

2. Assess the likely income elasticity of demand for energy and transport for low- and high-income households.

3. Discuss the extent to which increasing investment in renewables, energy efficiency, and diversification of energy supply could improve UK living standards.

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Elizabeth Veal

Liz has taught Economics for over 25 years, including several years as Head of Economics at leading schools.