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Unit 1 Micro: Supply Shortages Drive Peanut Prices Higher

Geoff Riley

29th December 2011

Supply shortages in key growing regions have caused the price of peanuts to surge to record highs. Peanut prices in Europe are 60% higher than a year ago and the cost of peanuts in the USA has more than doubled in the last twelve months. The price spike is the result of lower production from India, Argentina and the United States.

US peanut prices

In 2010, American farmers harvested 2.1 million tons of peanuts. This dropped to 1.8 million tons in 2011, a 15 percent drop that caused prices to more than double to about $1,000 a ton

With raw peanut prices jumping sharply higher consumers have found that staple products such as peanut butter, peanut oil, peanut flour and nut-enhanced cereals have become more expensive in some case by more than 30%.

Peanut supply shock diagram

Peanut production in the United States has been hit by drought conditions in states such as Georgia and Texas. And some farmers have switched production away from nuts towards cotton and corn because higher world prices have offered better expected profits. However if peanut prices stay high well into 2012, there are hopes that growers may start planting in states such as Arkansas and Mississippi where there is current ample water to achieve good harvests.

How will peanut-loving consumers react to these higher prices? I’ll continue to buy my usual combination of cheese and onion crisps and a packet of dry-roasted (tip - empty the nuts into the crisp packet for an unbeatable pub snack). But for others the temptation to spread that peanut butter a little more thinly on your bread will be strong.

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Geoff Riley

Geoff Riley FRSA has been teaching Economics for over thirty years. He has over twenty years experience as Head of Economics at leading schools. He writes extensively and is a contributor and presenter on CPD conferences in the UK and overseas.

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