The great fiscal policy debate - this one will run and run….
Stephanie Flanders, the BBC Economics Editor, is assessing what might happen to fiscal policy after the election next year. She has produced reports for the BBC news which can be accessed from her Stephanomics blog, and produced a discussion piece which draws upon current opinion as well as historical evidence to predict the likely differences and similarities between the political parties. As she says, both parties would expect to announce tough budget plans if elected - and both would tend to delay most of the pain until 2011 or 2012, when the economy is more firmly on the mend. There is a nice historical piece about Geoffrey Howe’s tax raising budget in 1981, and a reference to the pro’s and con’s of Vince Cable’s proposal to raise revenue by a “mansion tax” on houses worth more than £1m - one problem being that there are rather fewer of those houses now than there were a few months ago.
Many A level students will be voting for the first time in this most important of elections, in which fiscal policy is surely going to be one of the hottest topics, and I would love to give them some of the elements of this discussion to evaluate as they prepare to be some of the better informed new generation of the electorate.
