Google Wave: Trade deficits and surpluses

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

We were back on Wave last night considering some of the wider arguments surrounding persistent trade imbalances. Are trade imbalances a problem?

We are hoping that - as more Economics teachers migrate to Google Wave - we will be able to schedule collaborative sessions (typically lasting between 45 to 60 minutes) where we can generate ideas, arguments and perspectives in real time and support eachother’s teaching on chosen topics or issues.

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Rated: 54321 (5/5), based on 2 reviews

Reasons to expect a Nike Swoosh recovery

Friday, November 13, 2009

A failure of trust in global financial markets lies at the heart not just of the current recession but prospects for a sustained recovery in spending and jobs. Whilst journalists play the game of alphabet soup to describe the likely shape of the economic cycle, we might be better off thinking in terms of a Nike Swoosh. World growth is responding to an unprecedented policy stimulus but there is a real danger that the rebound inactivity will be constrained by a set of negative forces pushing down on growth. This was the message from Paul Donovan, Managing Director of Global Economics for UBS in his presentation to the Eton College Keynes Society last night.

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Rated: 54321 (5/5), based on 1 review

Stimulating Times

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

I was drawn to this very interesting graphic from the latest IMF report on the state of government (fiscal) finances in countries around the world. 

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Investment - Teacher Presentation

This revision presentation is ideal for AS Macro students who wish to build their knowledge and understanding of the important topic of investment and its role in driving macroeconomic performance. The presentation stays clear of AD-AS or PPF diagrams as we cover this analysis next - I will post a second presentation on applying investment to the AD-AS framework sometime next week.

Launch interactive presentation on the economics of investment

Download printable pdf (slides)

Broadband and economic development

Saturday, October 24, 2009

Access to and the speed and reliability of broadband infrastructure is one of the key institutional factors that impact on economic development. The lack of an affordable and cost-effective broadband network can be a huge barrier to economic growth especially in an age where companies in many rich countries are looking to outsource their back office and call centre services to countries where operating costs are lowest. The 2009 UNCTAD Information Economy Report provides a wealth of background information on the global digital divide.

According to the latest report, businesses and consumers are 200 times more likely to have access to broadband in developed countries than in the poorest Least Developed Countries (LDCs). And the monthly cost of broadband access varies to an incredible degree - from over $1,300 a month in Burkina Faso, the Central African Republic to less than $13 in Egypt.

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Paul Romer on Growth and Cities

BBC Radio’s Global Business this week sees Peter Day in conversation with Professor Paul Romer from Stanford University, Paul Romer is an expert in the causes of long run run growth and his current focus is on the economics of new cities in developed and developing countries. It is a programme well worth listening to, Romer is tremendously optimistic about the opportunities created by faster economic growth - especially growth built around innovation and appropriate rules systems.

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Taxing hot money - is Brazil getting it wrong?

Thursday, October 22, 2009

Carl Mortished’s excellent world business briefing in the Times today covers developments in the Brazilian economy. Huge inflows of foreign direct investment have helped to drive their currency higher and the Brazilian Finance Ministry has responded with a 2 per cent capital tax on foreign ‘hot money’ inflows into stocks and bonds.  The article suggests that Brazil might be better off in the long run by cutting import tariffs on capital goods thus reducing the price of imports of hi-tech machinery that will give her economy a major supply-side boost. In contrast to China, Brazil exports a relatively low percentage of her national output and it is largely self sufficient. The country has enjoyed a significant improvement in her terms of trade with strong world prices for many of her key exported commodites such as iron ore, coffee and orange juice. The boom in commodity exports has helped to increase the real purchasing power of millions of Brazil’s poorest people but a huge amount remains to be done and income and wealth inequalities are vast.

“Brazil is not China; it does not trade that much. Where China’s motor is manufacturing exports, Brazil is largely a self-sufficient economy, more like the United States, with a vast hinterland of eager, albeit poor, consumers.”

Here is his article

UK broadband in the slow lane

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

The relatively slow speed of the average broadband connections for most UK businesses and households will act as a contsraint on future competitiveness and growth. This report from BBC news finds that a study of the global state of broadband has put the UK 25th out of 66 countries in terms of the quality and reach of its networks. Rory Cellan Jones follows up the report with his own observations

“Britain has done well in the first broadband wave, using a pretty efficient copper network and DSL technology to get homes across most of the country connected. But other countries are moving forward more rapidly to build next generation networks using cable and fibre-optics.”

Investment in broadband can have significant demand and supply-side effects - the real consequences of under-investment will become more painful and obvious as time goes on - but who should pay for the extra capital spending needed? Will the new broadband tax make any noticeable difference?

Gloomy summary

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

image
Here is a summary of four reports posted on the Business and Economics sections of the BBC News website over the last few days. Be warned - none of them are particularly hopeful, the green shoots of summer giving way to autumn mists. 

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Explaining the Paradox of Thrift

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Dugie Young looks at the paradox of thrift and its relevance to today’s financial and economic crisis.

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