Stimulating Times
I was drawn to this very interesting graphic from the latest IMF report on the state of government (fiscal) finances in countries around the world.
read more...»New series of BBC Earth Report - Deforestation and Externalities
BBC World’s Earth Report has just started a new series of reports and the first edition is a powerful programme on deforestation in Indonesia and the impact that this has on carbon emissions. Across south east asia peat swamp forest is being drained to make way for oil palm or pulpwood trees. The destruction of tropical forests causes about 20 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions – more than the world’s entire transport sector – making tropical forest countries such as Indonesia, some of the biggest emitters of greenhouse gases in the world. Which incentives will be most effective in limiting the permanent damage of huge rates of deforestation and the costs of damaging burning trees?
Peak oil theory and economic implications
There is a highly relevant article on the depletion of global oil reserves and how this might affect UK energy policy in the Telegraph. The article links to concepts such as the marginal cost of extraction of different oil fields and the viability of exploring for oil at different prices.
“The timing of the global peak remains uncertain but the window is rapidly narrowing. Since 1993, the world has produced half as much oil as was produced in the preceding century and now uses as much oil as the UK has ever produced in only 10 months. On current estimates, we have used between 28pc and 56pc of recoverable conventional oil – with much of what remains being located in smaller fields in less accessible locations, or requiring “enhanced recovery” techniques to extract.”
The rest of the article can be found here
Lessons from an Ad Man - Superb microeconomics!
The wonderful Rory Sutherland wows the audience at the TED conference in Oxford with a superb sixteen minute talk on advertising and aspects of behavioural economics. It is an immensely watchable video that will allow you to discuss with your students concepts such as perceived value, symbolic value,intangible value, hedonic opportunity cost and some ideas for nudging personal behaviour in socially beneficial ways. We learn of the extraordinary value of placebos, the rebranding of the potato in Prussian Germany. That all value is subjective and that persuasion is better than compulsion. Some super examples too of Veblen Goods, price discrimination and how the framing of the Italian penalty points system for drivers in Italy has a different impact than for motorists in the UK.
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A Case Study in Labour Mobility - 50 Jobs in 50 Weeks
Perhaps we should expect nothing less from an unemployed Economics graduate, heavily in debt who had become desperate in search of a fulfilling job. Californian Dan Seddiqui went from being homeless and unemployed to getting 50 different jobs in 50 different US states in just 50 weeks and his story is featured in today’s Daily Telegraph
“In just 50 weeks Dan tried everything from being a lobster catcher, a jazz conductor, a TV weatherman and even a Las Vegas wedding planner.” Naturally a book is on the way!
This article is perfect as a starter teaching resource when discussing occupational and geographical mobility of labour and the natural and structural barriers that prevent others doing something similar in their search for worthwhile work.
Human and social capital and pathways to prosperity
Tom Aedy picks an article by Michael Milken in the FT and focuses on the importance of human capital in a competitive global economy - Milken calls this the world’s most valuable asset.
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Wall Street Partnerships and Principal Agent Problem
John Gapper has a super blog over at the FT in which he discusses the benefits that might flow from reforming bankers’ pay and restoring the partnership approach to renumeration
“Mr Thain correctly pointed out during the session that the old partnership structure of Wall Street firms, under which partners’ capital was at risk until they retired, produced better incentives in terms of risk management than bonuses based on short-term performance...This is not a bad idea but it might be extended. Why not truly replicate the partnership structure by applying those conditions to everyone who reached “partner” level - senior managing director or the equivalent at a large investment bank?”
This ties in with the idea of changing the behaviour of senior management so that they give great weight to the risks of particular investment and lending strategies and tries to avoid the myopic decision making that has proved so costly before the financial crisis.
The partnership model has applied particularly successfully in the UK with the continued success of the John Lewis Partnership. In March 2009 despite the effects of the retail recession, John Lewis announced that The company it would pay out total bonuses of £125.5m. That is the equivalent to about 13% of salary, or seven weeks’ pay.
Escaping from the Poverty Trap
There is a timely article on the existence of the poverty trap here in the Financial Times. The article draws on some of the recent research by the Centre for Social Justice which has looked at the disincentives facing people who want to earn extra income either by leaving the unemployment register or by taking a second job or working some extra hours. There are hundreds of thousands of people whose ’effective marginal tax rate‘ is well in excess of sixty per cent.
As this article in the Times makes clear “Marginal tax rates actually refer to the extra tax you pay in proportion to every extra pound you earn as your income rises.:
And for others, the net gains from earning higher gross incomes are even smaller.
The poverty trap comes about because for every £10 of higher incomes many lower-income families
1: A loss of income from tax and national insurance
2: The withdrawal of means-tested social security (welfare) benefits
Add in the financial costs of child care, traveling to and from work and the deterrent to finding a job or accepting some extra hours can be tough to overcome.
Disincentives matter hugely in the labour market and benefit reforms are likely to figure prominently in the manifesto of the Conservative Party at the next general election. It seems at the moment that they are taking a lead in developing a more radical approach to labour market reform. The Centre for Social Justice appears to be influential in reshaping their strategies to get people off benefits and into work.
Second-hand car market – law of unintended consequences
Drive a new car off the forecourt and you it immediately loses a sizeable slice of its value. And, under normal market conditions, second-hand cars lose value by about 15 per cent a year, but this year they are increasing in value – by an average of £600 so far this year – mainly due to a shortage of supply caused by the government’s scrappage scheme.
Apprentice Jockeys and Low Wages
The tragic death of two apprentice jockeys in an incident in North Yorkshire last weekend has prompted much press coverage of the ambitions and daily lives of the young people who aspire to make it into the intensely competitive world of professional horse racing. It struck me, reading this article in the Times, that the apprentice jockey is an excellent example to use of how a highly elastic supply of young people who want to reach their dreams has an effect on pay and conditions in their own particular labour market.
There are large hurdles (or barriers to entry) for people wanting to be a fully-fledged professional jockey. Last year less than 6% of apprentices made it into the professional ranks. For the humble apprentice desperately looking for rides and that all-important chance, the basic salary is likely to be little more than £10,000 a year for a job that involved huge hours many of which are at unsocial times plus the hard graft of traveling around the country from one course to another.
The Times article talks about “an endless supply of young talent” seeking one of the very few (and highly coveted) apprenticeship schemes. In other words, the supply of labour into the market is highly elastic at a relatively low wage rate. Little wonder that Trainers can employ apprentice jockeys at a low wage rate - and also take a slice of their riding fees.
According to the Times article:
*Until their success dictates otherwise, apprentices earn the basic stable lad’s wage. This starts at about £158.87 for a 45-hour week, rising to £214.94 between the ages of 16 to 21
*Generally, a trainer will take half the riding fees generated by his apprentice while paying half of his expenses. The riding fee on the Flat is £103.45
The passion of young jockeys also invites a discussion with students of the non-pecuniary aspects of work - the paradox being that many of the hardest jobs, both in physical effort and risk - are those that are deeply attractive to plenty of young people and thus carry virtually nothing in the way of compensating financial incentives.
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