The Economics of Sport - Stefan Szymanski at the Keynes Society

Monday, January 11, 2010

On Thursday 28th January we are delighted to host Professor Stefan Szymanski, from the Cass Business School. He is author of the highly acclaimed “Why England Lose and other curious football phenomena explained” - it should be a superb evening for those interested in using economic ideas to explain why there are too many English players in the Premier League and why Capello should insist on each of his players taking penalties for twenty minutes a day in the run up to the finals! I f you would like to come with some of your students and I can organise tickets - which are free. 

Strictly Labour Market theory?

Friday, September 11, 2009

One of the most cumbersome terms in Economics is the Marginal Revenue Product of Labour (MRPL), which we encounter during our A2 Micro lessons. The phrase itself is one of those clumsy things that many students find hard to get clear in their minds quickly. 

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Managerial casualties and frictional unemployment

Thursday, January 15, 2009

The news that Glen Roeder has been sacked as manager of Norwich City is a reminder of the precarious nature of management in the professional game. The average tenure of a new boss is little more than two years and the League Managers Association web site is a great place to go to find news of the latest batch of people to be shoved through the revolving door.

For many in the professional game, short periods out of work is a recurring fact of life - they are experiencing frictional unemployment whilst waiting for the next ‘big club’ to come calling.

Whether rapid changes of manager actually fundamentally changes the performance of the club on the field is another matter! This article from Tim Harford’s Undercover Economist site dates back to November 2007 and the untimely departure of Martin Jol from Tottenham. But it is still worth reading because Tim flags up research from a committed economist and soccer follower Chris Hope from Cambridge University.

“Christopher Hope is an economist at Cambridge University specialising in the costs of sacking football managers (and the costs of climate change). He estimates that when a manager is replaced, the typical team loses more than 10 league points from the disruption, equivalent to three wins and a draw. The cost of paying off the manager’s contract means less money to pay players and so a further modest points loss.”

“Nevertheless, Hope’s analysis recommends that clubs should sack their managers more often. He has concluded that the following algorithm would improve the performance of premiership clubs. Any new manager should have an eight-match honeymoon, during which time he is safe from sacking. After that, his average results should stay above a miserly 0.74 point per game; that average should be weighted to put about half the emphasis on the most recent five games.”

Should we apply a similar approach to the contracts of Economics teachers?

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