Revision: Stocks and Prices
Many AS microeconomics questions revolve around the volatility of soft commodities such as coffee, crude oil, rubber and tea and harder commodities such as iron ore, copper, tin and platinum. It is important to be aware of the important link between stocks and changes in market prices, especially in an age when commodities have become a new asset class with much more speculative activity than before. Stocks are also important in many other sectors of the economy – for example the property market and the market for carbon permits.
Revision note
Revision_Stocks_Prices.pdf
Powerpoint charts
Stocks_and_Prices.ppt
Chart of the Day: China’s imports of primary goods
We often read about the size of the ‘China effect’ on the demand for and prices of primary commodities traded around the world. This over-simplification ignores the impact that other emerging market economies are having on the consumption of primary products – indeed a much greater proportion of global economic growth is being provided by the resource-intensive emerging economies. Added together, the emerging economies account for 23% of global GDP whereas the US accounts for around 29%.
Chart of the Day: Imported Inflation into the UK
Our chart for the day is linked to the news that the pound has fallen to an historic low against the Euro. One of the consequences of a depreciating currency is that the prices of many of the goods and services we import from overseas goes up potentially leading to a fresh burst of cost-push inflation.
read more...»Revision: Commodity Prices and Economic Effects
In recent years we have seen a sharp rise in the prices of many internationally traded commodities such as oil, gas, iron ore, palm oil, rubber, copper and many foodstuffs. This revision note looks at some of the demand and supply-side explanations for this and also covers some macroeconomic consequences for various countries. This five page revision note available in pdf format (below) will also highlight some micro and macro concepts from the AS and A2 specification and offers ideas for scoring more highly using evaluation.
Mind Map: Credit Crunch
Our A2 macro group mind-mapped the Credit Crunch in a lesson on Friday, a text summary appears below and the original map is also available as a pdf file.
read more...»Gold glitters over $1000
The price of gold has risen above $1000 for the first time and the falling US dollar is the main cause. As the greenback slides in the foreign exchange markets, so gold becomes an even more attractive target for speculators who are keen to hedge against the growing global economic uncertainty and also take advantage of stronger currencies to buy gold - which of course is priced in dollars. Nervous investors are looking for assets that will give a more certain return and, with equities markets struggling to recover from the fall-out from the credit crunch, foreign investors now regard precious metals as hard assets that can protect the real value of their portfolios. How much longer can the gold bull (or should that be bullion) run continue? The spread-betting markets are chocker with traders taking bets that gold will rise to $1100 or higher still. The lesson seems to be this - watch what the US dollar is doing first and that will give you the next move in the price of gold. So when will the US Fed stop cutting interest rates?
Keep an eye on oil futures
Spot what is happening to the futures price in the market for black gold. OPEC, the 13-nation Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries has decided to maintain crude oil production at current levels despite pressure from the United States over the soaring cost of vehicle fuels and heating oil. The producer cartel met in Vienna to discuss the state of the market and opted to hold output steady. Indeed they have hinted that the next move in OPEC oil supply (which accounts for around 40 per cent of the world’s total) will be lower anticipating the effects of an economic slowdown in the United States.
(BBC) Oil rises past $105-a-barrel mark
read more...»
