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Indian Economy Chartroom

Friday, May 21, 2010
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Shubham Puri a visiting student from Mayo College India gave a super presentation on the Indian economy to one of my Year 12 economics classes this morning. It inspired me to call up a range of charts on the state of health of the Indian economy - one of the new key drivers of world demand and a vital component in the BRIC hypothesis!

It was interesting to hear from Shubham how much weight he attached to corruption as a factor holding back the underlying growth rate of the Indian economy. There are widespread doubts for example about the economic and social legacy of India’s hosting of the Commonwealth Games in Delhi later on this year.

Chronic unemployment in urban areas and much disguised unemployment across the country remain deep-rooted features of the Indian labour market despite impressive rates of growth and rising per capita incomes. Shubham confirmed that weak infrastructure is one of the aspects that contrasts India’s current situation with that of China.

Earlier on this week I heard Nouriel Roubini say in a lecture at the LSE that infrastructure in China is way ahead of where China has any right to be! Over ninety per cent of growth in China last year came from a massive surge in capital spending (capex). Too much investment in China will leave the economy with a glut of unused capacity and a major deflation problem once the short-term overheating is resolved.

Here is a brief presentation highlighting some of the key macro trends for the Indian economy.

Indian Economy Chartroom - Streamed Presentation

Download printable slide handout

And here is a wonderful short video My India that Shubham included at the end of his presentation

 


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