13% fall in household wealth will shape any 2010 rebound
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One key reason to expect a more subdued recovery from the downturn is that the household sector in the UK has suffered a huge negative wealth effect over the last couple of years. Asset values have fallen but outstanding debts have not and it is this imbalance that will shape the nature of any rebound in consumer demand for goods and services even though the cost of borrowing is at unusually low levels. The National Institute has done some research on the negative shift in personal sector wealth and it is reported in this article in the Telegraph.
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